16:16 13/02/2010http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/02/05/qa-carmen-reinhart-on-greece-us-debt-and-other-scary-scenarios/tab/article/... Since independence in the 1830s, Greece has been in a state of default about 50% of the time. Does that tell you something? They were in a state of default until the mid-1960s. If you relocated Greece right now outside of Europe, anywhere, you plop it down in Latin America or Asia or anywhere else, bet on an Argentina-style default. But it is a part of Europe. The European community sees itself very threatened by this. They’re going to do what they can. What I think is a likely scenario is that rather than have a default with a big bang, we’ll have a quieter type of default.
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